Spring 2018 Is Almost Here

G1S

 

With the proper Group 1’s coming next weekend and a couple of lead ups already under the bridge I thought it was an appropriate time to look at the future races coming up and possible pre post bets. Will be back on the weekend with a look at the feature races and selections. But first a look at the upcoming majors, I am looking for horses that I see as value as we need to take in the possibility they head elsewhere, form falls away or even possible injuries. No use taking $5.00 or $6.00 about a horse when you could get close to that on raceday.

Golden Rose 22.09.2018

$15.00 Zousain- Like these colts that have wintered in Brisbane and this bloke had a great prep up there. Narrowly beaten by his stable mate in the G1 JJ Atkins, his 2 trials this time in have been sensational. Feel he will halve in price after his debut in the next couple of weeks.

Epsom Handicap 29.09.2018

Youngstar $34.00- Chris Waller highlighted that this would be the race he would aim his 4yo mare at this prep. Have some reserves about her having the toe at 1600m G1 level but she is a possible star and Waller knows what is needed to win an Epso. Feel she can give this a shake onto better (Melbourne) races

Victoria Derby 03.11.2018

Botti $21.00- Murray Baker and Andrew Foresman have another promising 3yo staying type on their hands here in the Jakkalberry x Lioness colt. I believe the Lioness family is some of the best bloodlined in NZ with throw backs to Lion Tamer, Let Me Roar, My Blue Denim and Harris Tweed. Just the one start in NZ for one win but aim is the Derby in November.

VRC Oaks 08.11.2018

Rubira $34.00– Another Baker & Foresman 3yo but a filly this time. Didn’t look overly special as a 2yo until thrown in the deep end at Listed level over 1600m. Duly saluted and the team decided this race was the aim. Only a small bet here as all exposed form is on very heavy track and want to see her do it on the dry before committing.

 

Melbourne Cup 06.11.2018

Hamada $21.00– Little bit of the price is gone now after his impressive win last week but I still feel Hamada is the one for me a fair way out. Runs on pace with a good turn of foot in the astute Charlie Appleby yard who I feel is just a matter of time before he wins a Melbourne Cup. This horse should get in with around 54kg- 55kg and that looks a perfect weight.

 

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Group 1 Selections Wednesday 14.02.2018

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A few bets to go around later this evening with all 3 running after 5pm QLD time. Also included are last weeks results and the Month 6 results from New Years as well as the YTD as of January 1st.

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Week 28 60.9% POT YTD $2855.60 Profit
12 Bets 5 Winners 42% SR $3.10 Av Odds
Staking $695.00 Out $1068.00 In $423.00 Profit
Level Stakes 12 Units Out 15.45 Units In 3.45 Units Profit

 

Month 6 15.3% POT YTD $2303.70 Profit
20 Bets 5 Winners 25% SR $4.05 Av Odds
Staking $1225.56 Out 1070.50 In $155.06 Loss
Level Stakes 20 Units Out 20.25 Units In .25 Units Profit
Year To Date 12% POT YTD $2303.70 Profit
387 Bets 106 Winners 27.3% SR $4.12 Av Odds
Staking $19561.10 Out $21864.76 In $2303.70 Profit
Level Stakes 387 Units Out 435.20 Units In 48.2 Units Profit

Group 1 Selections Saturday 10.02.2018

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Just and update with the Ratings specials as well other chances for today. Seems to be some nice value at Caulfield in particular.

10.02.2018

 

Caulfield
Race 2 4 Al Naifa  $       8.60
Race 3 2 Ollivander  $       4.60
Race 5 6 Smart Coupe  $       8.50
Quin 6,1,3
Race 7 5 Prevailing Winds  $       8.00
Quin 5,10,1
Race 8 11 Shillelagh EW  $    11.00
Warwick Farm
Race 1 1 Satin Slipper  $       3.60
Race 4 12 Try A Little Harder  $       4.00
Race 5 1 Sanctimonius  $       3.00
11 Sniki Minaj  $       8.50
Race 8 4 Show A Star  $       2.80
Race 9 9 Fickle Folly  $       5.50
6 Echo Effect  $       7.50
Doomben
Race 6 4 I’m A Ripper  $       2.80
Race 7 10 Dream Master  $       4.00
Race 8 1 First Crush  $    13.00
Race 10 16 Inspired Elle  $       7.00
Quad 10/1,18,15,12,6/19,6,16,10/16,14,11,12,/  $    96.00
Morphettville
Race 2 4 Lord Topper  $       2.00
Pinjarra
All Up R3:1- R6:4- R8:2  $    11.40

Group 1 Selections Wednesday 07.02.2018

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Welcome Back!! Enjoyed my break from the serious punt but now the serious horses are back it is time to get back into it. Looking forward to the first G1 field of the calendar year coming out tomorrow and we will have a look at the feature races on Friday afternoon or Saturday night.

But firstly to tomorrow and we will have the ratings specials and then other ratings overs below. We will have a full weekly, monthly and 6 monthly update Thursday night to show how we are travelling.

Ratings Specials for tomorrow:

07.02.2018

Others that rate well:

Randwick
Race 1 2 Hiemal  $       3.40
Race 2 2 Schoolmates  $       5.00
Race 3 7 Ridicule  $       3.00
Race 4 2 Akasaki  $       2.50
Race 5 2 Allez Bien  $       3.60
Race 6 13 Mazaz EW  $    12.00
Race 7 10 Danzie  $       3.40
Ipswich
Race 5 3 Love And Rock It  $       3.80
Race 9 11 Give Us A Cuddle  $       5.00
Sandown
Race 1 4 Masuta  $       2.60
Warrnambool
Race 6 4 Aurora Rising  $       4.20
Murray Bridge
Race 7 4 Makin The Grade  $       3.20
Ascot 
Race 7 6 Dark Prospect  $       4.80