Group 1 Selections 27.05.2017

G1S

 

Group One racing at Eagle Farm but although the track played fairly last time some horses still not seem to get through the ground. Jungle Edge is tough as teak and will be hard to run down if he finds the front.

Rating Specials:

Venue Selection
SR8 11 Badajoz
PR4 5 Tonkatuff
MR8 4 Widgee Turf
AR7 3 Murti
MR9 14 Data Point
PR7 1 Russian River

Better Bets around the country

Eagle Farm
Race 2 1 Religify
Race 3 14 Melody Belle
Randwick
Race 2 1 Nardoo EW
Race 4 1 Signposted EW
Sandown
Race 2 15 Rillito
Race 9 3 Thelburg
Morphetville
Race 2 2 Husseybay
Belmont
Race 2 5 Top Of The Class

 

All Bets taken on opening:

Eagle Farm
Race 1 6 Burning Passion  $                  4.50
14 Rare Occurance  $               11.00
Race 2 1 Religify  $                  3.00
Race 3 14 Melody Belle  $                  4.40
Race 4 8 The Chairman  $                  4.60
Race 5 2 Volatile Mix  $               12.00
4 Black On Gold  $                  7.50
Race 6 15 Miss Debutante  $               10.00
18 Mystic Opal  $               23.00
Race 7 5 Counterattack  $                  7.50
8 Jungle Edge  $               11.00
Race 8 4 France  $               21.00 Quin 4,5,3
5 Dreams Aplenty  $               10.00 Tri 4,5,3,7,19
Randwick
Race 1 2 Sambro  $                  6.50
12 Madame Mustache EW  $               26.00
Race 2 1 Nardoo EW  $               31.00
Race 3 1 Sizzling Bullet  $                  4.20 Quin 1,8,3
Race 4 1 Signposted  $               31.00 Quin 1,4,10
4 Multifacets  $               16.00
Race 5 10 Can I Dream EW  $               21.00
Race 6 2 Heavenley Anna  $                  8.00
Race 7 6 Broadside  $                  3.00
Race 8 11 Badajoz  $                  4.00 Exacta 11 & 13
13 Upscale  $                  6.00
Race 9 9 Wayanka  $                  5.00
Sandown
Race 1 12 Josephine Sea  $                  8.00 Quin 12,4,1
She’s Our Gift EW  $               21.00
Race 2 15 Rillito  $                  6.00
Race 7 2 Pedrena  $                  3.30
Race 8 4 Widgee Turf  $                  3.00
Race 9 3 Thelburg  $                  6.00
Morphettville
Race 2 2 Husseybay  $                  3.50
Race 6 3 Vicki’s Boy  $                  5.50
8 Mystified  $                  8.00
Race 7 3 Murti  $               10.00 Quin 3,1,2
1 Pepper The Pin  $               12.00
Race 8 2 Rosselli Sting  $                  7.50
Belmont
Race 2 5 Top Of The Class  $                  3.40
Race 3 8 Sweet Ora  $                  8.50
Race 4 5 Rising Sea  $                  5.50
Race 5 5 Tonkatuff  $                  5.00
Race 7 1 Russian River  $               31.00

Group 1 Selections Saturday 20.05.2017

 

 

G1SBig day of racing with Group 1’s in Adelaide and Brisbane. I like the card at Rosehill as well and looks to be some nice bets.

Ratings Specials

Venue Selection
AR1 18 So You Too
PR2 2 Karkalee Miss
MR8 14 Hursley

 

Other good bets on the cards (prices taken Wednesday)

Flemington
Race 4 3 The Passage  $       6.00
Race 7 13 Onerous EW  $    10.00
Morphettville
Race 5 4 Have Another Glass  $       4.60
Doomben
Race 1 8 Gully Command  $       8.00
Race 5 5 Untamed Diamond  $       6.00
Race 6 Oaklohoma Girl EW  $    13.00 **Value**
Race 7 10 Astronomos EW  $    41.00 **Value**
Race 8 Splurge  $       6.00
Rosehill
Race 1 1 Viridine  $       3.70
Race 8 12 Bonny O’Reilly  $       3.80

All bets taken Wednesday

Flemington
Race 4 3 The Passage  $       6.00
Race 5 2 Charmed Harmoney  $       6.00 Quin 2,8,3
8 Radipole  $    10.00
Race 7 13 Onerous  $    10.00
Race 8 4 Second Bullet  $       5.00 Quin 4,1,14
1 Ventura Storm  $    10.00
Morphettville
Race 1 7 Idatwo  $    11.00
Race 3 4 Time To Test  $       4.20
Race 4 4 Parthesia  $       6.00
Race 5 4 Have Another Glass  $       4.60
6 Model Dragon EW  $    16.00
Race 7 6 Secret Agenda  $       6.00
19 Sweet Sherry EW  $    26.00
Race 8 12 Schism EW  $    26.00 Quin 10,4,12
Doomben
Race 1 6 Gully Command  $       8.00
Race 2 11 Cabin Fever  $       6.00
Race 4 10 Tiyatrolani  $       9.50
Race 5 5 Untamed Diamond  $       6.00 Tri 5,12,7,1,10
Race 6 2 Kenedna  $       3.60
5 Oklahoma Girl  $    13.00
Race 7 1 It’s Somewhat  $       4.20
10 Astronomos EW  $    41.00
Race 8 1 Jungle Edge  $    10.00 Tri 8,1,3,5,2
8 Splurge  $       6.00
Rosehill
Race 1 1 Viridine  $       3.70
Race 2 7 Passage Of Time  $       3.80
Race 3 1 New Universe  $       2.40
Race 4 12 Olordy  $    11.00 Tri 12,4,10,1
Race 5 1 Secret Trail  $       7.00
Race 6 6 Nothing Box  $       7.00
3 Be Like Dad EW  $    13.00
Race 7 13 So Willie  $    10.00
Race 8 12 Bonny O’Reilly  $       3.80

Group 1 Selections Saturday 13.05.2017

G1S

 

Great days racing far and wide today. Group 1’s in the minor states and the last Group race of the year in NSW at Scone. Looks to be some value around in the big fields at Morphettville but will need luck with the 20+ fields.

Ratings Specials:

Venue Selection  Odds 
MR4 5 Thelburg  $           4.50
PR1 5 Top Of The Class  $           1.75
AR5 8 Broadway And First  $           6.50

Good Bets around the venues:

Caulfield
Race 8 1 Wise Hero
Race 9 7 Grey Street
Scone
Race 3 2 Debonairly
Race 7 2 Shillelagh
Race 8 6 Nieta
Race 4 14 The Wasp EW
Morphetville
Race 4 6 It’s Invincible
Race 5 8 Broadway And First
Doomben
Race 3 4 Punte Norte
Race 6 12 Kaiser Franz EW

All bets as taken Wednesday and a few exotics:

Caulfield
Race 1 1 Easy Beat  $       4.80
Race 3 3 Leoti EW  $    16.00
Race 4 5 Thelburg  $       5.50 Quin 5,14,9
Race 5 3 Zebrinz  $       7.00
Race 6 7 Hursley  $       5.00
Race 8 1 Wise Hero  $       3.80
Race 9 7 Grey Street  $       4.40
Scone
Race 2 7 Hot Hit EW  $    21.00
Race 3 2 Debonairly  $       4.20
Race 4 11 Snitty Kitty  $       8.00 Tri 11,14,5,8,9
14 The Wasp EW  $    51.00
Race 5 3 Mr Sneaky  $       6.00
7 Ubatuba EW  $    23.00
Race 6 2 Clearly Innocent  $       6.00
4 Snoopy  $       5.50
Race 7 2 Shillelagh  $    10.00
7 Kinshachi  $    11.00
Race 8 6 Nieta  $       2.20 Quin 6,9,12
12 Quatronic EW  $    17.00
Morphetville
Race 1 1 Act Of Valour  $       3.60
Race 2 10 Broadband  $       3.60
Race 3 4 Mulder  $    11.00 Quin 4,5,10
5 Mystified  $    10.00
Race 4 6 Its Invincible  $    12.00
Race 5 8 Broadway And First  $       5.50
Race 6 1 Fox Hall EW  $    14.00
8 Hussybay EW  $    51.00
Race 7 3 Grand Chancellor EW  $    14.00 Tri 5,1,3,2,13
2 Waging War EW  $    13.00
Race 8 6 Saturday Affair  $       5.50
Doomben
Race 2 2 Privlaka  $       5.00
7 Don’t Tell Mama  $    11.00
Race 3 4 Punta Norte  $       8.00 Exacta 4 & 2, Quin 4,2,5
Race 4 1 Ours To Keep  $       5.50 Tri 1,2,5,4,10
10 Cooroi Chase EW  $    17.00
Race 5 1 Good Standing  $       5.00 Quin 1,3,7
7 Billy The Kid  $       7.50
Race 6 7 Chocante  $       5.50
12 Kaiser Franz EW  $    31.00
Race 7 5 Music Magnate  $       6.50
8 Start Wondering  $    13.00

Group 1 Selections 06.05.2017

G1S

 

Morning all, looks to be some great value around the country so lets hope we a right. Same template as usual. Ratings Specials, Good Bets and all bets as I took them Wednesday night so deductions do apply to some prices.

Ratings Specials:

Venue Selection  Odds 
SR8 3 Untamed Diamond  $           7.00
FR4 2 Corvara  $           3.60
PR5 5 Aerozine  $           5.00
FR7 5 Yeah Yeah Yeah EW  $21.00/5.00

Good Bets Around The Venues:

ADEL
R1 2 Royal Rumble
R3 1 Tabbing
R4 12 Rock Status EW
R5 9 Ma Jones
Quad 3,1,9,2/2,5,3,8,1,11,4/1,5,14,6,17,18/2,3,12,1/
BRIS
R1 2 Irish Constabulary
R5 2 Religify
R6 16 With A Promise EW
Quad 2,3,12/16,9,12,5,6/4,1/4,12,5,3,2,1/
SYD
R3 3 Oklahoma Girl
R4 6 Mercurial Lad EW
R5 8 Roaring To Win
R6 2 Dreamforce
R8 3 Untamed Diamond

 

All Bets Prices Taken Wednesday:

Morphettville  Odds Taken
Race 1 2 Royal Rumble  $                  3.40
Race 2 2 Second Bullett  $                  3.00
Race 3 1 Tabbing  $                  7.00
Race 4 12 Rock Status EW  $                26.00 Quin 12,5,3
5 Casino Wizard  $                  9.00
Race 5 3 Consonmateur  $                12.00
9 Ma Jones EW  $                21.00
Race 6 3 Sword Of Light  $                12.00 Tri 2,5,3,8,4
4 Smart As You Think EW  $                21.00
Race 7 5 Viddora EW  $                15.00
14 Beautiful Flyer EW  $                81.00
18 Missrock EW  $                26.00
Race 8 2 Ken’s Dream  $                  4.60
3 Benz  $                11.00
Gold Coast
Race 2 2 Irish Constabulary  $                  4.00
5 Hi I’m Back  $                  7.00
Race 3 4 Risen  $                11.00
1 Eminent EW  $                21.00
Race 4 3 Dawn Wall  $                  3.60
5 Savvan  $                10.00
Race 5 2 Religify  $                  3.50
12 Kuznetsova  $                16.00
Race 6 16 With A Promise EW  $                71.00
12 Nudie Rudie  $                10.00
Race 7 1 It’s Somwhat  $                  3.60
4 McCreery  $                  5.50
Race 8 5 Ringo’s A Rockstar EW  $                19.00
12 Tiyatrolani  $                13.00
Rosehill
Race 1 10 Siam  $                  9.00
Race 2 3 Loves A Hassle  $                  9.00
10 Olordy  $                  8.00
Race 3 3 Oklahoma Girl  $                  4.80
Race 4 6 Mercurial Lad EW  $                21.00
15 Kawaikini  $                15.00
Race 5 8 Roaring To Win  $                  7.50
Race 6 2 Dreamforce  $                  8.00
5 Via Napoli  $                11.00
Race 7 5 Astronomous  $                  5.50
10 Slow Pace EW  $                26.00
Race 8 3 Untamed Diamond  $                  7.00
11 Torpenhowe  $                  8.50
Race 9 4 Bonny O’Reilly  $                  5.00
14 In Times Of War  $                  8.00
Flemington
Race 1 9 Haradaful  $                10.00
R

 

ace 2

5 Refectory  $                  7.50
1 Purple Smile EW  $                26.00
Race 3 1 Freeze Over  $                  3.50
Race 5 1 Devine Quality  $                  3.90
Race 8 15 Nasdex EW  $                15.00

G1Selections Saturday 29.04.2017

G1S

Looks to be a very tough day with queries how both Eagle Farm and Caulfield tracks will  play. We have also got horse returning onto a good track Hawkesbury after a very wet winter in Sydney Metro area.

 Ratings Specials
Venue Selection
BR1 5 Colinelle
VR5 7 Vatiaz
AR6 6 Mubakkir
AR7 10 Waterloo Sunset
MR9 11 Fastnet Latina

Good bets throughout the venues.

Hawkesbury
Race 4 10 Burning Passion
Race 7 5 Calanda
Race 8 6 Spectroscope
Eagle Farm
Race 3 11 Spirit Of Kiowa EW
Race 4 1 Ours To Keep
Race 5 7 Storm Girl EW
Race 8 7 Privlaka
Morphettville
Race 2 2 Municipality
Race 3 4 Time To Test

Bets taken on Wednesday with prices taken, got caught out with some drifters at Caulfield but made up with some value in Brisbane and Adelaide

Caulfield
Race 1 1 Soju Warror  $                4.00
2 Fomo  $                6.60
Race 2 4 Hurlsey  $                4.50
8 Super Haze  $                8.80
6 Overberg  $              14.00
Race 3 8 Lauchetti
Race 4 1 Merriest  $                4.40
4 Snitty Kitty  $                5.50
Race 5 2 Al Passem EW  $              18.00
Race 6 9 Widgee Turf  $                6.00
Race 7 6 Miss Vista  $                4.00
Race 8 5 Heart Starter  $              10.00
3 Master Reset  $              17.00
Race 9 5 Nevis  $              21.00 Tri 9,11,5,6,3
3 Rhythm To Spare  $              21.00
Hawkesbury
Race 4 10 Burning Passion  $                8.50
Race 5 6 Astara  $                5.50
8 Lanciato  $                6.50
Race 6 2 Artistry  $                5.30
13 Maternal  $              13.00
Race 7 5 Calanda  $                5.00
Race 8 6 Spectroscope  $                5.50
13 Moher  $              13.00
Race 9 1 Berretta  $                8.00
5 So Willie  $              14.00
16 Legistation EW  $              41.00 Tri 1,3,5,16,15
Eagle Farm
Race 1 5 Colinelle  $                3.50
8 Misery  $              15.00
Race 3 11 Spirit Of Kiowa EW  $              26.00
Race 4 1 Ours To Keep  $                3.70
2 Snitzkraft  $                4.40
Race 5 7 Storm Girl EW  $              41.00
Race 6 1 Takedown  $                3.40
7 Tumblr  $                9.00
Race 7 3 Spring Tycoon  $                4.20
5 Realing  $              11.00
Race 8 7 Privlaka  $                4.20 Quin 7,9,8
8 Sharpe Hussler EW  $              26.00
Quad 3,7,1,/1,7,2,3/1,3,5,9/7,9,2,8,3,10/
Morphettville  Wed
Race 1 9 Artsrum  $                9.00 Quin 9,7,10
Race 2 Municipality  $                4.80
Race 3 4 Time To Test  $                2.80
Race 4 7 Its Invizible  $                5.50
1 Bay Road  $              13.00
Race 6 11 Victory Downs EW  $              23.00
8 Cest Beau La Vie  $              13.00
3 Riziz  $              13.00
Race 7 2 Fox Hall EW  $              26.00
8 Posh Journey EW  $              51.00
Race 8 3 Grand Chancellor  $              10.00
9 Netherfield  $              15.00
5 Wagering War  $              13.00

Group 1 Selections 22.04.2017

G1S

 

My tardiness this morning has saved one losing bet anyway!! Good luck today punters with an even card at Caulfield and the G1 Sydney Cup.

Ratings Specials
22/04/17 Venue Selection
SR3 7 Oklahoma Girl
MR2 8 Kapset
AR4 3 Sullivan Bay
SR7 9 Super Maxi
VR5 3 Dormeuse
MR9 12 Sword Of Light
Good Bets
Randwick Race 4 7 Oklahoma Girl
Caulfield Race 8 13 Ken’s Dream
Doomben Race 5 7 Hi I’m Back EW
Morphettville Race 3 1 Counter Pulse

All bets with prices taken Wednesday Night

Randwick
Race 1 3 Silence  $       7.50
Race 2 8 Kawainkini  $    31.00 EW
3 I Thought So  $       2.60
Race 3 7 Oklahoma Girl  $       7.00
1 Sizzling Bullet  $       7.50
Race 4 7 Parogon  $       7.50
Race 5 6 A lot Like Home  $    16.00
2 Spiral  $    10.00
4 Like A Shot  $    12.00
Race 7 6 Nieta  $       2.25
Race 8 3 Big Duke  $       3.50
10 Penglai Pavilion  $       5.50
2 Libran  $    19.00
Race 9 2 Roaring To Win  $       8.50
Caulfield
Race 2 5 Super Haze  $       9.50
Race 3 1 Burning Front  $       1.80
4 Royal Rumble  $    12.00
Race 5 1 Kronos  $    19.00
Race 6 1 French Emotion  $       3.20
6 Tykiato  $    16.00
Race 7 6 Crystal Dreamer  $    10.00
3 Kaepernick  $       7.50
11 Legless Veauve  $    26.00
Race 8 13 Ken’s Dream  $    10.00
Race 9 12 Sword Of Light  $       3.30
8 Think Babe  $       7.50
Doomben
Race 1 5 Cailbottle  $       7.00
1 Emerald City  $       4.40
6 Last Sight  $    10.00
Race 2 5 Cooroi Chase  $       4.40
Race 3 1 Candika  $       2.70
Race 5 7 Hi I’m Back  $    13.00
Race 6 10 All Over Bosanova  $       4.00
Race 7 1 Sir Moments  $       9.50
5 Too Good To Refuse  $       6.50
9 Maryore  $    13.00
Race 8 16 Eventide  $  101.00 EW
Morphetville
Race 1 1 Tabbing  $       5.50
Race 2 4 Rock Status  $       4.60
Race 3 1 Counter Pulse  $       3.70
Race 4 5 Beautiful Flyer  $       7.00
Race 5 3 Royal Rumble  $       4.00
1 Dances On Stars  $       8.50
Race 6 7 Petite Filou  $       4.50
2 Casino Wizard  $    10.00
Race 7 1 Kenedna  $       4.00
Race 8 9 Desert Lashes  $       4.80
7 Vivaldi’s Quest  $    31.00 EW
12 Arizona Wildcate  $    26.00 EW

Group 1 Selections 15.04.2017

Selections for the day,

Ratings Specials

VR4 5 Haski  $           2.25  $  100.00
MR6 3 Hans Holbein  $           1.90  $  100.00
AR5 6 Red Fire Lady  $           7.00  $  100.00
ZR4 1 Smash The Gong  $           5.50  $  100.00
CR6 2 Happy Pilgrim  $           3.70  $  100.00

Good Bets

Randwick
Race 2 6 Burradoo EW
Race 3 1 Acatour
Race 4 8 Hellbent
Race 5 4 Astronomous
Race 9 12 Careless EW
Caulfield
Race 6 1 Hans Holbein
Doomben
Race 4 7 Lady Jetsetter
Race 6 12 Marabel

All Bets with prices taken as of Wednesday night.

Randwick
Race 1 2 Mercurial Lad  $    4.60
6 Supreme Lad  $  51.00
Race 2 4 Cannyscent  $    4.25
6 Burradoo  $  16.00
13 Knit N Purl  $  17.00
Race 3 1 Acatour  $    2.75
Race 4 8 Hellbent  $    4.20
1 Takedown  $    6.00
9 Royal Tudor  $  31.00
Race 5 4 Astronomous  $    3.70
Race 6 1 Invader  $    1.95
Race 7 8 Tavaci (PrePost)  $  15.00
9 English  $    4.40
Race 8 6 Zumbelina  $  11.00
Race 9 1 Fabrizio  $    4.40
8 Sort After  $  14.00
12 Careless  $  26.00
Caulfield
Race 1 3 Lady Selkirk  $    7.00
Race 2 9 Redcore  $  11.00
Race 3 18 Stringer Bell  $  21.00
Race 4 2 Another Coldie  $  11.00
Race 5 1 Scarlett Rain  $  10.00
5 Moonlites Choice  $  21.00
Race 6 1 Hans Holbein  $    2.25
Race 7 12 Lake Como  $    7.50
3 Sebring Sun  $    7.00
13 Tykiato  $  41.00
Race 8 7 Hellova Street  $    4.20
4 Kenjerwood  $  13.00
12 Turbo Miss  $  26.00
Race 9 2 Pornichet  $  17.00
12 Tarquin  $  19.00
Doomben
Race 1 2 Toni May  $    3.20
Race 2 3 Snitz  $    4.00
2 Capital Gain  $    4.60
Race 3 3 Skate To Paris  $    7.50
Race 4 7 Lady Jetsetter  $  11.00
12 Tumblr  $    3.50
Race 6 12 Marabel  $    5.00
13 Kylies Fame  $  41.00
Race 7 1 Sir Moments  $  10.00
14 Fiery Heights  $  10.00
Race 8 10 Slydini  $    6.00
9 Red Letter Day  $  21.00
Oakbank
Race 5 6 Red Fire Lady  $    8.00
Race 7 10 Not So Lady Like  $  10.00
Race 8 10 Bay Road  $  12.00
8 Scratchy Lass  $  61.00

G1S Saturday 08.04.2017

 

 

G1SNo preview today but have attached all bets made on Wednesday according to my ratings. I bet these to a staking plan with best available fixed vs my rated prices. Of course not all punters are going to have as many bets as I do during a Saturday so I will post my ratings specials (available everyday on Facebook @ Group 1 Selections) and then my other standout and value bets for Metro venues and then my full bet list.

Ratings Specials:

08/04/17 Venue Selection  Odds 
SR2 9 Ubatuba  15/4.4
MR5 9 Crystal Dreamer  TF
PR1 4 Snow Lord  TF
AR6 5 Counter Pulse  TF
DR3 5 Captain Punch  TT
MR8 5 Hans Holbein  TF
DR4 3 Bedisguised  TT
PR5 8 More Aces  TF
FR5 6 Brittella  TT

 

Best Bets and Value Saturday Metro

Caulfield
Race 2 4 Life Less Ordinary EW
Race 5 9 Crystal Dreamer
Race 8 5 Hans Holbein
Randwick
Race 1 1 Muraahib
Race 2 9 Utbatuba EW
Race 4 9 Pomelo
Race 5 3 Defcon EW
Race 10 1 Tycoon Tara
Toowoomba
Race 3 2 Helarocity
Race 8 6 Pinch River
Race 9 4 Quatronic
Race 10 7 Privlaka
Morphettville
Race 6 5 Counter Pulse
Race 8 6 Fully Stokes  EW
Race 8 8 Grand Chancellor  EW

 

All Bets with prices taken Wednesday (Syd Cup Pengai Pavilion is a Pre Post bet)

Caulfield
Race 1 1 Plutocracy  $       4.00
5 Shamar  $       7.50
Race 2 4 Life Less Ordinary  $    19.00
14 Yacht Club  $    61.00
Race 3 9 Star Patriot  $    41.00
4 Fragonard  $    12.00
Race 4 1 Wine Bush  $       6.50
Race 5 9 Crystal Dreamer  $       4.80
Race 7 4 French Emotion  $       2.90
1 Leebaz  $    12.00
7 Authoritarian  $    51.00
Race 8 5 Hans Holbein  $       2.90
2 Dark Eyes  $    17.00
Race 9 9 Sullivans Bay  $    15.00
8 Tykatio  $    41.00
1 Tuscan Sling  $    17.00
Toowoomba
Race 1 1 Hingus Rose  $       9.00
2 Ruby Red Heart  $       4.60
7 Skate To Paris  $    15.00
Race 3 2 Helarocity  $       5.50
Race 6 8 Double Dazzle Em Sid  $    81.00
Race 7 6 Dream Finnish  $       7.50
12 Rockabella Boy  $    81.00
3 Emerald City  $    16.00
Race 8 6 Pinch River  $       3.50
Race 9 4 Quatronic  $       9.50
Race 10 7 Privlaka  $       3.50
Sydney
Race 1 1 Muraahib  $       4.20
Race 2 2 Bezel  $       9.00
9 Utbatuba  $    21.00
Race 3 Shoals  $       4.40
5 Villa Carlotta  $    18.00
Race 4 9 Pomelo  $       3.60
12 Heavenly Anna  $    23.00
2 Ziganui  $    34.00
Race 5 6 Tactical Advantage  $       7.50
3 Defcon  $    19.00
1 Saracino  $    15.00
Race 6 3 Bonneval  $       4.60
4 Nurse Kitchen  $       6.00
2 La Diosa  $    16.00
8 Waking Moments  $    41.00
Race 7 6 Harlem $201/ $16.00
Race 8 7 Big Duke  $       2.90
5 Assign  $       7.50
10 Pengai Pavilion  $    21.00
Race 9 17 Foxplay  $       7.00
7 Danish Twist  $    13.00
2 First Seal  $    17.00
Race 10 1 Tycoon Tara  $       8.00
2 Artistry  $    10.00
9 Tempt Me Not  $    34.00
Morphetville
Race 6 5 counter Pulse  $       5.00
Race 8 6 Fully Stokes  $    31.00
8 Grand Chancellor  $    21.00
Quin 6,8,3 Tri 6,8,3,1,11

Group 1 Selections The Championships Day 1

G1S

 

 

Preview below for a great day of racing. Good luck to all!!

Royal Randwick Track Heavy 8- Soft 7

 

Race 1 Widden Stakes Group 3 1100m

Great little race for the 2yo’s to kick off and not much splits a couple of handy 2yo’s here in 2 Condor Heroes and 1 Property. Property was outstanding leading into the Blue Diamond Stakes where he ran well when beaten 5th 2.85L, wet track is some concerns but has class. Condor Heroes has a lot of wraps on him for a horse having his 3rd start and there was plenty of talk of him running a race in the Slipper before missing a crucial lead up to gain entry won his maiden last start on a heavy 9 may give him an edge on this surface. 2 others in the market are Sheikha and Aizee and whilst I think both have chances I have them under the odds and leaning toward the boys.

Suggested Bets: Take your pick 2 Condor Heroes $4.60 or 1 Property $7.00, I am leaning Condor Heroes but maybe play the exacta/quin as well.

Race 2 Carbine Club Stakes Group 3 1600m

Pretty keen on 4 Theanswerismyfriend here, wet track looks to be little concern as the stable booked in early when we were looking at an extremely heavy track and the High Chaparral’s get through it. That bloodline as well as his super impressive walkover at Flemington points to him doing even better at the 1600m in my opinion and I think he is one of the better bets on the card.

Expected a little more from 5 Acatour last start and he has been below his spring runs so far this prep and I am thinking he may not be appreciating these wet tracks. Rates ok up to the mile here but I am risking him until he gets on top of the ground.

Been a push around for 2 Eusebio who has a tremendous record (5-3-2-0) but had been going around the provincials before storming late to win the Canberra Guineas in an impressive performance. James Doyle is on here and is the danger horse to my top rater.

One that has not rated as well for me but I think can run a race is  6 Mr Sneaky,  beat home Theanswerismyfirend (unlucky) last time they met and in a smart stable and the High Chap/ Danehill points to the wet track and mile no problem. Keep safe in exotics

Suggested Bets: 4 Theanswerismyfriend looks a good bet $3.80

 

 

Race 3 Chairman’s Stakes Group 2 2600m

Tricky little race for the Sydney Cup horses here and the market looks a little bit suffocated by 1 Big Duke. He rates, really strongly for me here after a getting the win in the stewards room last start (I am still cursing Craig Williams)  if he stays at that level than it is hard to see them tossing him here. Not entirely over the moon with the $2.70

Another Team Llyod Williams horse looks the danger here in 3 Aloft, ran his best race in Australia by some way last start when getting the job done over 1800m, big step up in distance here but if he finds his best European form in this he will be hard to hold out. Price is still a little skinny compared to what I have him rated at.

Bit of odds about the kiwi 7 Rock On, consistent 4yo gelding on the up (20-4-5-1) who looks to go on all surfaces although the sting out maybe favourable to all these NZ stayers. Ratings show a stayer on the rise and a good winner of the 2500m NZ St Leger last start. Some hope.

6 Polarisation’s Euro form hardly sets the formguide alight but I doubt a man as shrewd as Charlie Appleby brings a horse halfway around the world for a haircut, Kerrin McEvoy on a stayer is also a big positive, the horse has won at this trip (1-1-0-0) and seem to like soft ground (4-3-0-0) and whist there is nothing in the video form to suggest he will be winning this my suggestion to all exotic players would be to keep him safe.

Suggested Bet: 1 Big Duke small win bet, tricky race.

 

Race 4 Country Championships Final 1400m

I will not go into too much detail in the only non-group race of the day but I do like one here dropping well back in grade in 15 Pumpkin Pie, gets onto what looks to be a better surface and drops back from G2 level. Will be storming late the obvious danger but very short, and I do like 6 Careless Choice going forward.

Suggested Bet: Small win bet 15 Pumpkin Pie, Tri 15,3,6,4,5

 

Race 5 PJ Bell Stakes Group 3 1200M

Bet of the day here in 3 Rainment, she was a Saturday Special 2 starts back when bolting in and this race doesn’t look a whole lot harder. Stays at 1200m, the track looks soft at best again and I see her as the winner here providing she runs up to last start. I took $4.60 early doors and she keeps getting backed to the point she is a little short now. If she gets to $2.70 or better come race time she is a decent bet.

12 Zumbelina looks the one to beat here from the Chris Waller yard and coming off a soft trial win, this is a step up in grade but goes well fresh.

7 Samantha was solid behind Rainment last start but unsure how she turns the tables, likes this track and soft she will be around the mark again

Bit of value here in 6 Sweet Sherry, and her wet runs jump out in the formguide (2-2-0-0), very good at Flemington last start should get a decent ride from the barrier. Knockout chance at $15.00+

Suggested Bet: 3 Rainment at $2.70+, 6 Sweet Sherry EW $15.00+

 

Race 6 Sires Group 1 1400m

First Group One of the day and a cracking race to pull apart. 14 Frolic was excellent running second in the golden slipper and has been in top form all preparation, the wet track is no issue and 1400m seems to suit, awkward draw but she will be going back anyways, deserving favourite.

Not much between Frolic and 15 Tulip in the betting and not much between them in the ratings either, thought Tulip’s run in the Golden Slipper was impressive on ground that didn’t, David Hayes has said she will be better over more ground and gets her chance here. She will be there at the finish

One at rough odds here in 4 Veranillo, horse has had genuine excuses all prep and was vetted at the barrier before a fair run when making some ground late. I do not believe he appreciated the truly heavy track that day and on an improving surface I think he can run a race at decent odds. Gets the best jockey in the world in Joao Moreira on and should be able to settle closer to the speed from the draw, rough ew chance at $21.00

Also give chances to 3 Diamond Tathagata, 8 Invader (been well supported) and 13 Summer Passage

Suggested Bets: 14 Frolic, 4 Veranillo EW, Tri 14,15,4,8,3,9

 

Race 7 Australian Derby Group 1 2400m

Truly believe this is the race of the day and we will see if 2 Gingernuts is a flash in the pan or something truly special as he shoots for 5 in a row. His NZ Derby win rated strongly and returned ratings figures with me equal to Mongolian Khan and above Tavago, that figure dipped a little on a truly heavy Randwick track when his class got him a win that was quite soft in the end. I got in early in the Pre Post before the Rosehill Guineas after following him right through since his Avondale Guineas win and providing he can hold his form at the end of what has been a long prep he should be good enough here. Short enough here now though.

3 Inference the obvious danger but I do believe he had everything to suit last start when coming off a strong Randwick Guineas win, up to 2000m, on a wet track he has seemed to appreciate all through his career. Just got left behind when Gingernuts sprinted, his run in the VRC Derby over this trip was full of merit when desperately unlucky. Hard to see him turning the tables on the fav but if GIngernuts has had one run to many than Inference could be the one.

I wasn’t too keen on 4 Jon Snow in this race after his solid 3rd in the NZ Derby as I think 2000m is his go but after watching the way he won with ease last start he has come back into calculations. Not overly keen on the price and think he should be double figure odds but bookies and punters have been caught out with the NZ form and I believe an overreaction has taken place. Solid place chance.

1 Prized Icon has had his colours lowered a little after finishing last prep on a high note winning the VRC Derby at this trip, been mixing his form a little but did look to be back near his best last start. His best is good enough but just have reservations about him producing that here today. He can surprise in this race but I will be including in exotics only.

Throw in 8 Ruthven as well, his form in Victoria has been solid enough and I think he will appreciate the trip, should be forward in the race which is always an advantage, $19.00 is not a bad price.

Anaheim has claims on an improving track as well.

Suggested Bets: 2 Gingernuts Win, 8 Ruthven EW, F4: 2.3/2,3,1,4/1,4,7,8,11,5/1,4,7,8,11,5

 

Race 8 TJ Smith Stakes Group 1 1200m

I have gone with 13 Astern on top providing he starts (camp worried about a truly heavy track) I think he was the best of his generation last prep in Sydney and believe he could go next level against the older horses 1st Up, some risk with such a long break between runs and an aborted Melb trip but $6.50 lets you find out with a decent reward. He will be scratched if not ready for this.

Chances to Russian Revolution (brilliant 1st up) Chautauqua (below his best this prep buts Chat) and 8 Voodoo Lad ( brilliant 1st up, wet no issue)

Suggested Bets: 13 Astern If he starts, 8 Voodoo Lad EW $17.00

 

Race 9 Doncaster Mile Group 1 1600m

As always this race is very, very tricky. A lot of formlines converging and this year more so than ever, to be honest I have a pre-post bet Spectroscope @ $51.00 and I have not been really able to find anything in my ratings to get excited about. Will run quickly through my ratings.

2 Le Romain, tough as teak, G1 winner this prep and goes all conditions, not fully convinced Randwick mile and at the top of the weights.

3 Palentino, have had to forgive the horror show we witnessed this track and trip in the Epsom in the spring but if he pulls out another drunken shopping trolley performance could be in trouble. In great form in Victoria and not a bad form race he won last start, 1600m is his go and also has no qualms on wet ground

11 Mcreery, has the Waller Doncaster feel about him this horse, less than 2L off them last prep in the 2 feature mile races in both Sydney and Melbourne, gets through any ground and gets Kerrin McEvoy, looks hard to beat here and the one I am leaning to.

15 Hey Doc, In top form in Melbourne and now has to bring it up against these older horses, puts himself into his races on pace, very awkward draw for him to do that and not entirely convinced about him on a Soft 7/ Heavy 8

16 Antonio Giuseppe, tough horse down in the weights, gets 2000m+, likes it wet, and a cosy draw, a few ticks but the horse has changed direction mid prep and not something I usually like seeing, Waller is a genius though and he may be able to get the job done.

19 Spectroscope, been with this horse since his 1st trial win Australia and looks to have a touch of class, finds himself thrown in at the weights down on the minimum although he has drawn extremely wide but does have Joao Moreira on to help overcome it. I am on at the big odds early and think he can be giving this a big shake.

14 I Am A Star, this little girl is a star and would want to be meeting and giving weight to a lot of these older horses, cant doubt her prep and her last 2 wins have been simply brilliant. Not entirely convinced about her on rain affected ground but her win last start was proper G1 rating. If it was WFA I would almost have her on top.

Suggested Bets: Happy with early ticket Spectroscope, win bet 11 McCreery $12.00, small EW I Am A Star $18.00

Race 10 Adrian Knox Stakes Group 3 2000m

Not a race can get entirely stoked about, even bunch of fillies and a quaddie killer for me last year after kicking off with Tavago!! Have liked what I have seen from 3 Mull Over so far and a beautifully bred filly (High Chaparral x Zabeel mare) think she has better races ahead of her the way she put them away in her Newcastle maiden win last start, some nerves about this race coming around too soon

Like the Waterhouse/ Bott filly in 5 Almalita, puts herself right into her races and should be able to lead them up here and hard to get past, ran well enough behind Tiamo Grace last prep at Flemington.

Also like 4 High Impulse (good win last time, 2 Perfect Rhyme and give a rough hope to 12 Face Like Thunder at big odds $35.00

Suggested Bets: 3 Mull Over, 12 Face Like Thunder EW

 

Best Bets

Race 2: 4 Theanswerismyfriend

Race 5: 3 Rainment

 

Quaddie numbers: 2,3,1/13,14,1,2,8/19,15,14,3,2,11,10/3,4,12,2,1,5,9/

Group 1 Selections Saturday Feature Race Preview

G1S

Flemington Track: Good Weather: Overcast

Race 4 Sires Produce Stakes G2 1400m

Tough little race this with heavily backed favourite Eshtiraak coming through 3 straight wins although away from city Saturday grade. Puts himself right into the race from the beautiful draw and being a Street Cry should lap up this trip, well found in the market however at almost even money.

Aspect was good again in the G1 Blue Diamond and raced like this trip would suit especially at Flemington, takes a little while to get balanced but has a great turn of foot, little bit of value at the $10.00 mark and goes in everything.

2 Colesberg is the one I am keen on here, David Payne does not often bring them down from Sydney and this colt has run fairly on two very heavy tracks in Sydney, I think he can run better on top of the ground, draws well for this distance and Hugh Bowman on is a positive booking. At $11.00 he is worth a small bet on a decent surface.

Can concede chances to 7 Toga Picta and 5 Groundbreak.

Suggested bet: EW: 2 Colesburg, Quin: 3,2,1

 

Race 5 Kewney Stakes G2 1400m

3yo fillies to go around here and a very good race, expect some handy form to come out of this heading to Sydney. 2 I Am A Star rates on top here and she is a little star!! Super tough and super consistent, form around Chautauqua and Super Cash last start and Chat ran Le Romain to a nose in G1 company and Super Cash lines up in the G1 Newmarket on the card. She is well found and worse than even money with some bookies but I cannot knock her here. Drawn perfectly here for a soft run and should be winning.

5 Oregon’s Day’s run was better than it looked last start when raced keenly, wide and hung out yet was still only beaten a neck! If she does half as much wrong today she will be in with a big chance. Drawn to get a nice run here in that lane 1-5 horses off the fence and just needs a bit of luck to get a crack at them.

Not Super keen on anything outside those two, Ellicazoom worked very well through the week and was tough to get past last start and Keneddna looks a nice hope for the future.

Suggested Bet: Hard to tip against the fav, maybe a 5 Oregon’s Day the place @ $2.50 and Tri 2/5,3,4,8

 

Race 6 Schweppervescence Trophy G3 1600

Fillies and mares do battle here in another interesting little race, Miss Rosed De Lago should be able to control the race from her draw after no luck and being trapped 3 wide both runs this time in and is hard to get past if she does so, bit of a drop back in class for her here.

Pretty keen on one here at nice overs in 3 Lady Selkirk, in an unfashionable stable but I think Matty Williams has a bright future, comes off an average looking run at Caulfield but has struggled at the tighter Caulfield and Moonee Valley tracks before. Back to her favourite track (4-2-0-1) and unbeaten this distance (3-3-0-0) and track and distance (2-2-0-0) I think she can position up nicely here and at around the $14.00 mark she is a great ew chance.

Behind these two there is a host of chances including Circular (Jo Moreira, soft draw) Rising Hope and Pure Pride (gets back, runs home, track against) as these fillies and mares races are often even contests.

Suggested Bet: Took $21.00 earlier in the week 3 Lady Selkirk but the $14.00 (Centrebet) is still great value.

Race 7 Newmarket Handicap G1 1200m

Found this race awkward to analyse, Speith came out on top of my ratings on the strength of his last 2 runs here at Flemington, but has never been one of mine as even when he wins he needs luck! How the track plays early will give us a guide to how this race pattern plays out, the inside has been the place to be even down the straight the last couple of meetings here but watch to see what they do in Race 3 for some sort of guide. Like I said Spieth on top here and still a little bit of value here at current prices, don’t lock in as he may drift if support comes for the two 3yo’s late. He is either perfectly drawn from gate 1 or they get off the rails or got to the outside and it maybe sticky. I would love to see him muscle his way through a gap today to show he is willing to do that. Cant knock his last two runs in top grade.

Illustrious Lad was hard on speed in the Lightning which is amazing considering he bucked at the start! 1200m was always going to suit this horse a little better and drops nicely in weight (5.5kg) he will be tough at the finish but just have a class query with him.

Well these 3yo sprinters have been talked up all season and it is now time to show it on the track versus the older sprinters, I thought Star Turn had a nice run on speed last start and then was swamped late, down in the weights here he should be able to be on speed here and have every chance, I do have slight question marks at a tough 1200m.

Extreme Choice was not even to line up before Flying Artie was scratched, but hey who would want to waste a booking of Joao Moreira, especially at the moment. Got back a little further than expected last start and charged at them late, I think they would want to be a little closer here but the draw makes that a little tough unless they go to the outside fence or the middle. Horse has the potential to be a star but his run in the Coolmore in the spring raised some questions. He would not surprise me at all if comes over the top of them but not overly keen on the price.

Keeping it short with Terravista, at his best he can beat anything, his run last start was exceptional, maybe the overs in the race. Include in everything.

Suggested Bet: I am just watching this one, if you like Speith he does rate well here, Terravista at that price maybe a small play but I am happy to watch what should be a very good race.

 

Race 8 Australian Cup G1 2000m

Another tough race for me to get a read on, especially the way the track played last week where it was tough to make ground more than 1-4 horses wide off the fence. This makes it crucial where race favourites Jameka and Humidor settle in the run. Or we could just get a beautiful even surface and they win from everywhere! Word is Tom Melbourne goes forward again and if so it should at least mean we get a very tempo, I think Ecuador will also push on as may Stratum Star, Awesome Rock, Tally and maybe even Boom Time.

Makes it tough to see where Jameka slots in unless they do some work early to go and sit outside the lead or in the 1-1. Else they go back and try and run over them, nothing wrong with her runs this prep and looks to be building to this, needs to be winning this today if the International trip is still on the agenda, not a stellar Australian Cup field. Rates well just a bit unsure where she gets to in the run.

Humidor rates on top due to his two barnstorming runs since joining Weir, but Darren still has not got his head issues sorted just yet. When I followed the horse in NZ he was known to run in AND hang out when under pressure and he has run in both times this prep. I think he will have to come from back here today and those little issues make me believe the price at the moment is a little bit unders.

I normally don’t like betting away from the top 2 in my markets but just think The United States maps so well for this race. Barrier 4 gives him some options and 2000m is his pet trip, loomed to win last start when his fitness just gave out at the end and a similar run here makes him very tough to beat. I like the price

Smaller chance to Exospheric (great last start, got home hard) 1 Stratum Star (fittest in race, on pace, will be hard to run past).

Suggested Bet: Small win bet The United States, Tri and F4: 10,11,3,6,1

 

 

Rosehill Track: Soft 7 Weather: Overcast

Race 5 Sky High Stakes G3 2000m

Focus on this races as I think it will be a fair form race for the rest of the carnival. Antonio Giuseppe rates on top here at around the $2.50 mark but gee you would be brave taking odds on for him in this class of race, impressive run 1st up at an unsuitable trip and jumps straight up to the 2000m, no surprise if he wins but not at that price.

Libran has rated well all prep in races he could never win and finally gets a suitable race here, cut out of the track helps him and likes this trip (5-3-1-0) was terrific last prep and I give him some chance here 3rd up.

Tavago showed us glimpses of his 3yo Derby form last prep and the rain affected track suits him as well, I think he will be better next start but is a little value.

Magic Hurricane has been brilliant his last two starts in races he couldn’t win, 3rd up here and he will be rattling home again, is ready to win.

Old Grand Marshall could get home into a placing and Lasqueti Spirit was massive last start (how much did that take out)

Suggested Bet: Fav is very, very short maybe small ew Libran at a price, Save Tri 9/5,3,2

 

Race 7 Coolmore Classic G1 1500m

This is a cracking race for the fillies and mares and very even across the board.

Omei Sword comes out rating on top for me but gee she really needs to come out and show the hype is justified. Only won 1 race in stakes grade and comes up fav against a handy field of older horses and a couple of very good 3yo’s. I don’t see gate 19 being a big a issue as some as they usually get of the rail at Rosehill when rain affected anyway. Her drama will only being if they all run to the outside like Randwick last start but I doubt that will be the case. Looks to have a good speed here to set the race up for her and at around the $4.00- $5.00 mark it is good enough to have a bet.

7 La Bella Diosa couldn’t have done anymore last start, plenty wrote off her NZ form before the race and then wrote of the run after the race with saying the Heavy track was in her favour. I think she will be a lot better filly on top of the ground. Impressive record (7-5-0-1) and already a G1 winner in NZ where I think the 3yo form is very decent this year. Tricky draw if the better going is off the fence and maybe looking for all of the 1600m-2000m already but I expect her to run very well here. Been support for her, I took $13.00 and into around the $8.00- $9.00 this morning.

Dixie Blossoms had the perfect run last start and deadest blew them away, not sure she will get that controlled tempo here today but still rates pretty nicely, not bad odds for a horse that won by 7L last start, she will have her supporters.

If John Thompson can get First Seal to win this first up off a setback he is a magician, high class mare, just think she has a bit too much against her but is out to a huge price. Maybe some value for exotics

In Her Time is in terrific form and can do no more than she has done, she is super tough, big ask against these better mares but she is a great price.

Others include Euro Angel, Danish Twist, Shillelagh (tiny win bet at $71.00) and Global Glamour.

Suggested Bet: Win bet Omei Sword, has to win this, smaller bet La Bell Diosa, Tri 14,7,2,1,3

Other Bets for the day:

Flemington Race 2 10 Hursley
Flemington Race 9 12 Rocket Tommy
Rosehill Race 3 3 Coruscate
Rosehill Race 4 2 Exceeds EW
Rosehill Race 4 15 La Chica Rosa EW
Rosehill Race 6 9 Foxplay
Rosehill Race 8 2 Arod
Doomben Race 2 2 Pah Terie
Doomben Race 3 4 Pinch River
Doomben Race 4 15 Miss Arabella plce
Doomben Race 6 8 Cantbuybetter
Doomben Race 8 13 Courtza King
Morphettville Race 9 Hannukkah Gold
Ascot Race 2 3 Undisclosed
Ascot Race 5 7 Majinka